Iran UN Sanctions

Corruption and Mismanagement Plague the Iranian Petroleum Sector

IranTanker, cc Alf van Beem, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Iran_Dena_IMO_9218480_p6_approaching_Port_of_Rotterdam,_Holland_15-Dec-2007.jpg

If past record is any indication, a healthy skepticism is warranted concerning Iran’s new oil discovery in Khuzestan province.

Iran’s Regional Grand Project Wobbles

Iran Fuel Protests, cc Fars News Agency, wikicommons, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&search=iran+protest&advancedSearch-current=%7B%7D&searchToken=7b2lb0b650k35fu08drjgghrf#%2Fmedia%2FFile%3A2019_Iranian_fuel_protests_Fars_News_%282%29.jpg

Iran’s region-wide geopolitical project is now imperiled on multiple fronts, including at home.

Iran Bends under the Weight of US ‘Maximum Pressure’

A picture from the Tehran protests of 2009, cc Milad Avazbeigi, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tehran_protests_(2).jpg

New nationwide protests are heaping pressure on the Rouhani regime; but all routes to a political solution remain blocked off.

Backgrounder: The U.S. Maximum Pressure Campaign toward Iran

Trumpspeech, public domain, modified, https://www.ang.af.mil/Media/Article-Display/Article/1343697/president-trump-speaks-at-193rd-special-operations-wing/ (U.S. Air National Guard photo by Staff Sgt. Tony Harp/Released)

Maximum pressure is working – just not in the way that US officials had hoped it would.

Europe Failing to Save JCPOA as Tensions Boil over in Middle East

IranDeal, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/59829

Is Europe is warming to ‘maximum pressure’?

US-China Trade War and Iranian Oil: Market Disruptions Ahead?

President Trump visits China in 2017; Whitehouse.gov, modified, public domain

Risks are mounting on both the supply and demand side of global oil markets.

What a US-Iran War Would Look Like

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Zac and Nick discuss some of the military dimensions of a potential US-Iran conflict, and how Tehran might seek to maximize the costs of a US campaign.

Will Russia Betray Iran Again?

Presidents Rouhani and Putin, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hassan_Rouhani_and_Vladimir_Putin_(1).jpg

If history is any indication, don’t expect Russia to jump to Iran’s assistance in the event of a US military strike.

Five Things Everyone Gets Wrong on Iran

modified, cc 4.0, Meghdad Madadi, Tansim News Agency, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hassan_Rouhani_press_conference_after_his_election_as_president_14.jpg

While it’s true that Iran presides over well-documented human rights abuses, these abuses are often exaggerated to the point of creating a tyrannical mythos that’s completely detached from reality.

Global Forecast (11-05-2018)

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Ebola spreading in DRC, Bank of Japan mulling an end to Abenomics, and Iran finds itself under US sanctions once again.

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