Iran-Saudi Arabia Rivalry

Iran’s Network of Regional Proliferation

cc Fars News, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Assorted_Iranian_artillery_rockets.jpg

Examining the ways in which Tehran utilizes its ‘axis of resistance’ to shore up its overall geopolitical position.

Soleimani Assassination to send Shockwaves through the Middle East and Beyond

cc Erfan Kouchari, modified, Tansim news agency, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Major_General_Qassem_Soleimani_at_the_International_Day_of_Mosque_(2).jpg

Though the assassination will further destabilize the region, a large-scale conventional conflict remains unlikely.

Iran’s Regional Grand Project Wobbles

Iran Fuel Protests, cc Fars News Agency, wikicommons, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&search=iran+protest&advancedSearch-current=%7B%7D&searchToken=7b2lb0b650k35fu08drjgghrf#%2Fmedia%2FFile%3A2019_Iranian_fuel_protests_Fars_News_%282%29.jpg

Iran’s region-wide geopolitical project is now imperiled on multiple fronts, including at home.

With Aramco IPO, Riyadh Doubles Down on Economic Diversification

Riyadh skyline, modified, MO, public domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Riyadh_Skyline_New.jpg

But geopolitics could get in the way of MBS’ reform program for the Saudi economy.

Saudi Arabia Oil Attack a Geopolitical Game-changer in the Middle East

US Department of State, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Deputy_Crown_Prince_Mohammad_Bin_Salman_bin_Abdulaziz_Al-Saud_Participates_in_the_Counter-ISIL_Ministerial_Plenary_Session_-_Flickr_-_U.S._Department_of_State_(cropped).jpg

Riyadh’s evident vulnerability will lead to a search for new regional allies, and Israel is a surprising possible candidate.

Fallout from Saudi Oil Facility Attack

Khurais_Oil_Processing_Facility,_Saudi_Arabia_by_Planet_Labs, cc Planet Labs Inc., modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Khurais_Oil_Processing_Facility,_Saudi_Arabia_by_Planet_Labs.jpg

Appraising the geopolitical and market fallout from the mysterious attack on Saudi oil facilities earlier this month.

Sudan: The MENA Region’s Next Proxy Conflict?

Sudan protests 2019, CC M. Saleh, modified, Wikicommons, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=khartoum+protests&fulltext=Search&fulltext=Advanced+search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&advanced=1&searchToken=1a26j4o5p9lklfiy2kh8biz98#%2Fmedia%2FFile%3ASudanese_protestors_chanting.jpg

The political dispute in Sudan is fertile ground for wider geopolitical machinations between the Saudi-UAE and Turkey-Qatar blocs. Is Sudan doomed to become the next Syria?

Will Russia Betray Iran Again?

Presidents Rouhani and Putin, cc Kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hassan_Rouhani_and_Vladimir_Putin_(1).jpg

If history is any indication, don’t expect Russia to jump to Iran’s assistance in the event of a US military strike.

IMF Surprises with Saudi Deficit Projections

Riyadh Skyline, cc B.alotaby, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Riyadh_Skyline_showing_the_King_Abdullah_Financial_District_(KAFD)_and_the_famous_Kingdom_Tower_.jpg

Should the Saudi government be worried about its growing budget deficit?

US-Iran Tensions: Saudi Sabotage Rattles Oil Markets

TankerSunrise, modified, public domain, https://picryl.com/media/maracaibo-venezuela-sunrise-travel-vacation-faeace

Two instances of sabotage on Saudi oil infrastructure suggest the possibility of Iranian blowback from mounting tensions with the United States.

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