African Politics News & Analysis
A Pernicious Withdrawal: Trump Paves the Way for China’s Domination of Africa
By actively disengaging from Africa, Washington is ceding additional influence to an already-prominent Chinese presence on the continent, ultimately impacting US efforts to source new critical mineral supply chains.
An African Powder Keg: Terrorism in the Sahel
Unless deep-rooted socioeconomic and security issues are addressed, Africa’s development miracle risks being derailed. Nowhere is this truer than with the G5 countries in the Sahel.
2020 Malawi Election Rerun: Lessons for Africa’s Opposition Groups
With its recent election re-run, Malawi became an exemplar of institutional maturity on the African continent.
Cry Havoc! Why the West Needs to Let Slip the Dogs of War in Africa
Could mercenaries help to unwind the growing nexus of terrorism and criminality in Africa?
Lessons from Gambia’s Political Transition
Just one year removed from a constitutional crisis, Gambia is struggling to move beyond the human rights abuses of the Jammeh era.
Mugabe Legacy Looms over 2018 Zimbabwe Elections
Upcoming elections in Zimbabwe will be free, but whether they’ll be fair is another question entirely.
Zimbabwe after Mugabe: New Dawn or Business as Usual?
The honeymoon period for Zimbabwe's new president could be exceedingly short.
The End of the Mugabe Era in Zimbabwe
The army has taken control of Harare and placed longtime President Robert Mugabe and his wife under house arrest.
Will Odinga’s Gambit Pay Off in Kenya?
Opposition politician Raila Odinga gambled by calling for a boycott of the second presidential vote. Will the move pay off with a high office, or is Kenya about to descend back into political instability and violence?
Global Forecast (10-23-2017)
Abe cruises to a new supermajority in Japan, Raqqa falls to the Syrian Democratic Forces, and Kenyans head back to the polls for a tense presidential rerun.
Global Forecast (09-14-2017)
The 2017 Astana Talks go in search of a long-term ceasefire for the Syrian civil war, Kenya prepares for a rerun of its presidential elections, and the Chinese economy loses some steam.
Global Forecast (08-14-2017)
A Ukrainian connection in North Korea’s missile program, a strong second-quarter showing from Japan’s economy, and some early signs that history won’t be repeating itself in Kenya.
DR Congo 2017 Political Transition Falters
The death of a popular opposition politician is allowing the Kabila regime to drag its feet on political transition.
History Repeating? Nigeria’s President on Extended Medical Leave
Nigeria President Muhammadu Buhari has been in London for medical treatment for a month now. Back home, rumors are swirling as the Nigerian government grapples with a worsening economic outlook.
The DRC Sliding Back into Crisis in 2017
A simmering political crisis in the DRC risks civil war and disintegration in the long-suffering African state.
Security Vacuum in Eastern DRC Sapping Economic Potential
Armed groups continue to prey on local populations in the eastern DRC and frustrate any possibility of economic development.
The African Charter and its Impact on Standards of Living
This backgrounder gauges the success of the African Charter in boosting standards of living in Africa.
Perfect Storm in Ethiopia: Big Government Controlled by a Small Group
Little progress is being made on investigations into alleged political violence in Ethiopia.
Global Forecast (08-11-2016)
Presidential elections in Zambia, upcoming minutes from the US FOMC, and Ukrainian “incursions” into Crimea.
Zuma to Be Tested in 2016 South Africa Elections
Local elections in South Africa could well loosen the ruling ANC party’s iron grip on the country’s politics.
