Sergey E. Ivashchenko

Sergey Ivashchenko is a UK-based analyst with over a decade of experience in scenario modeling, OSINT, and aerospace systems architecture. His previous work includes strategic publications on escalation logic, infrastructure vulnerability, and psychopolitical rhetoric in Russian-language media.

Is Elite Information War Hollowing Out the Russian State?

Vladimir Putin answered media questions In conclusion of his official visit to the People’s Republic of China, Vladimir Putin took media questions. cc http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/77914, modified,

The widening gap between statement and reality goes beyond what we’ve come to expect from Russian propaganda. Rather, it suggests a stunted information environment surrounding President Putin and mounting elite struggles across the Russian state.

History Repeating: Russia’s Manufactured Nuclear Threat

Generated by Google Gemini AI on February 25, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Accusations that Ukraine is attempting to acquire nuclear weapons from France and the UK are simultaneously absurd and – in light of recent historical precedent – extremely alarming.

Russia’s “Poseidon” UUV: The Underwater God of Propaganda

Poseidon Cubist, Generated by Google Gemini AI on February 4, 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The Poseidon is an underwater unmanned vehicle and one of Russia’s ‘unparalleled’ next-generation weapon systems. The state authorities would have us believe that it can defy the laws of physics. No wonder it has never been seen in the field.

From the Ruins of the Old, a New Security Architecture Takes Shape

cc Quintin Soloviev, modified, Emmanuel Macron speaking in Greenland with a European Union flag in the crowd / https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fichier:Emmanuel_Macron_speaking_in_Greenland.png

The end of the era of global alliances marks the beginning of a new security architecture, one in which effectiveness is ensured by flexibility and security rests on concrete, targeted action between like-minded allies.

Fit For Purpose? Why Global Alliances Are in Decline

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 16 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Alliances are failing to fulfill their key function of preventing conflicts. Rather, they are devolving into sources of tension as the old rulebook of collective security no longer corresponds to global realities.

From Negotiations to Mobilization in Ukraine

cc The Russian Presidential Press and Information Office, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_%282017-01-17%29.jpg

Despite the outward optics of negotiation, there’s only one direction that Putin will go: toward a full mobilization.

China: An Ally Waiting for Russia’s Defeat?

cc Russia President's Office, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Putin-Xi_meeting_%282023%29.jpg

For the United States and Europe, the disintegration of Russia looks like a catastrophe. For China, it could be a historical opportunity.

Russia’s Fictional Triumphs in Ukraine

Generated by Google Gemini AI on December 16, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Faced with declining materiel and economic firepower, Russia is embellishing battlefield victories to help steer the course of ongoing peace talks.

The Trump Peace Plan, Written in Russia

cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/77790

For Europe, the Trump peace plan is not a chance for a durable détente, but a crucible of new risks.

Russia’s RS-28 “Sarmat”: A Trump Card That Stays in the Sleeve

Now open as a tourist attraction Макет Р36-М2 SS-18, the predecessor of the RS-28 Sarmat; modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Russian_SS-18_Satan_%2816172539190%29.jpg

Messaging surrounding Russia’s latest failed test launch of its RS-28 “Sarmat” suggests that this ‘peerless’ next-generation ICBM is more propaganda tool than strategic gamechanger.

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