Without the deterrence provided by US forces, China has had an easy time eroding the Philippines’ position in the South China Sea.
Though much is unknown about the Quad’s future, one thing seems sure: it’s not transforming into a full-fledged military alliance anytime soon.
It appears as though Abe’s gamble on the Kuril Islands will not pay off.
Naval power has been a key element of great power conflict in the past, and growing hostility between the United States and China won’t prove an exception.
A variety of shared geopolitical interests will bring New Delhi and Washington closer together in the year to come.
Iran is showing the same water strains that helped to destabilize Syria ahead of the civil war.