Asean Countries News & Analysis
Escaping Southeast Asia’s Critical Minerals Trap
Critical minerals like nickel and tin may power the next economy, but extraction alone will not secure ASEAN’s place in it. Southeast Asia does not need to become the quarry of the energy transition. It needs to become one of its industrial architects.
Southeast Asia’s Quiet Verdict on US Power
Southeast Asia is not moving towards China. It is moving away from US dependence.
Cebu’s Wake Up Call for ASEAN’s Energy Future
The Iran war is resurrecting old initiatives for bolder cooperation on energy and food security within ASEAN, but with them comes the now familiar friction between geopolitical alignment and collective decision-making.
The Strait of Malacca Is Malaysia’s Industrial Spine
Malacca doesn’t just provide Malaysia with geographic relevance. It also represents industrial opportunity, but only if Kuala Lumpur moves to take advantage of it.
Cebu Summit Thaw? Thailand and Cambodia Meet with 2001 MOU in the Balance
Calls to revoke a 2001 MOU delineating shared borders risk a severe breach in Cambodia–Thailand relations. The ASEAN Cebu summit can help get bilateral relations back on track.
Indonesia’s ‘Observer Inflation’ Isn’t the Crisis; Household Inflation Is
The 'inflation' that matters most in Indonesia today is not found in commentary or critique. It is found in hospital bills, school fees, rent payments, and grocery receipts.
The Norm That Protects Scammers: ASEAN’s Non-Interference in the Mekong
The ‘ASEAN Way’ is curtailing the ability of states to collectively crack down on Illicit scam centers operating in plain sight in Southeast Asia.
Indonesia Is Accepting Strategic Risk Because It Has No Choice
Indonesia’s tradition of non-alignment is being tested by a sweeping new agreement with the United States. The plight is not exceptional and is increasingly familiar among middle powers looking to balance prosperity, security, and autonomy in an era of great power competition.
China–Vietnam Marine Cooperation Finds New Momentum after Xi–To Lam Talks
The recent Xi-To Lam summit suggests that functional cooperation can coexist with unresolved sovereignty claims in the South China Sea.
Geostrategic Hospitality: Indonesia in the New Era of Great Power Competition
Indonesia is adapting to the new era of great power competition by openly engaging with all sides, but this balancing act is not without its risks.
Indonesia’s Nickel Diplomacy: Navigating US–China Competition in Critical Minerals
A new trade deal with the United States demonstrates how Indonesia’s nickel sector is no longer merely an industrial policy instrument – it is a geopolitical lever.
Cambodia Undermines ASEAN Centrality in 2025 Border Conflict
Settling disputes intra-regionally and respecting sovereignty have long stood as the fundamental norms of ASEAN. Phnom Penh has undermined both of them in its ongoing border conflict with Thailand.
ASEAN’s 2026 Bottleneck: Policy Shocks and Power Limits
The defining risk for Southeast Asia in 2026 is not simply “geopolitics.” It is policy volatility, and it is arriving in tandem with an older, less glamorous constraint: energy infrastructure.
Thailand: The Frontline Nobody’s Watching
While Europe remains preoccupied with itself, a geopolitical buildup is taking shape in the Indo-Pacific that has long ceased to be mere war-gaming. The third act of the world order won't premiere in Brussels—but in Chumphon, Ranong, Subic Bay, Guam, and most importantly: Bangkok.
When America Walks Away, Asia Feels the Shockwaves
What happens when the principal architect of the post-war order begins quietly dismantling the scaffolding it once built?
Kra Canal Or Landbridge? The Answer Will Shift Global Geopolitics
Bangkok must now decide on a debate that’s as old as the Thai state – embark on the Kra Canal megaproject or construct a land bridge between the Andaman Sea and the Gulf of Thailand. The result will resonate not just across Thai society, but global geopolitics.
Indonesian Democracy: A Regional Bellwether
Indonesia’s democratic struggle is not a domestic footnote. It is a regional bellwether and a global test case, one that Australia – and the wider democratic world – are closely monitoring.
Geopolitics Weekly (Taiwan Weapons, Thai-Cambodia Ceasefire, Nigeria ISIS Strikes)
This week we examine the growing backlog in US weapon deliveries to Taiwan, the long-term prospects of a recent ceasefire in the Thai-Cambodia border war, and President Trump’s Christmas Day strikes on Islamic State camps in Nigeria.
Thailand Shows the West Has Already Lost Southeast Asia
Thailand represents the microcosm of a global shift: a tectonic revolution in Southeast Asia's center. Anyone seeking to understand why the West has lost influence in the region need only look here.
The Taiwan Question and the Uneasy Calm of Southeast Asia
Southeast Asia is not seeking to influence the Taiwan question—only to survive it. The hope is that restraint, dialogue, and neutrality can keep the region from being dragged into a calamity it neither wants nor can prevent.
