The geopolitical context has changed between 2001 and 2021, and thus we should expect a different foreign policy from Taliban-controlled Afghanistan.
Three geoeconomic factors will determine the future of Taliban-controlled Afghanistan: opium, natural resources, and regional trade networks.
Various geopolitical pressures are set to produce a more moderate Taliban regime in the short-term – but sharia remains a red line.
Doha has spent years building political capital with the Taliban. Now it will have an opportunity to spend it.
The new geopolitical reality on China’s borders could trade short-term pain for long-term gain.
The fall of Kabul is causing some to question Washington’s commitment to its East Asian allies.
Once again, the old adage is vindicated: Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
Billions of dollars’ worth of US weapons and equipment have fallen into Taliban hands, making the new regime a military force in the region from day one.
A Taliban-controlled Afghanistan reshuffles the geopolitical deck in a highly strategic region.
The Afghan government is on borrowed time after a string of battlefield successes by the Taliban.