Afghan Taliban News & Analysis
Why the Taliban Government Is Likely Here to Stay
Despite sustained international condemnation and relative diplomatic isolation, the Taliban government is likely to remain in power for the foreseeable future.
Taliban Poppy Ban Resets South Asian Drug Flows
Once the backbone of Afghanistan’s rural economy and a pillar of the global heroin trade, the opium sector is now in retreat, reshaping drug markets and security dynamics across the wider region.
China–India Rapprochement and Its Strategic Implications for Afghanistan
Shifts in Asian geopolitics are creating new opportunities for Afghanistan, but administrative and security challenges must be overcome for Kabul to take full advantage of them.
Trump Dreams of Bagram’s Geopolitical Reemergence
A return of the Bagram Air Base remains highly unlikely, but movement in this direction reflects a tentative warming in US-Afghan ties.
Russia’s Taliban Recognition Signals Potential Domino Effect
Russia’s Taliban recognition could be the start of a trend; however, Afghanistan’s (partial) reintegration into the diplomatic mainstream will add a new layer of complexity to Central Asian geopolitics.
Trans-Afghan Railway: Central Asia’s Gateway to Global Trade
The Trans-Afghan Railway stands as a transformative project for Eurasian trade, representing a strategic corridor that bypasses traditional chokepoints and redefines connectivity from Central Asia to the Indian Ocean.
Minerals for Recognition: The Taliban’s Shadow Diplomacy
The Taliban leadership is seeking to leverage Afghanistan’s considerable mineral wealth in a comprehensive effort to gain wider diplomatic recognition for the regime.
The Historical Roots and Contemporary Dynamics of Extremism in Pakistan
Examining the historical and geopolitical factors driving increased extremism in Pakistan.
The Making of ‘Terroristan’: Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Pashtun Nationalism
Conventional assessments of the Pashtunwali social code and the history of the Pashtun region tend to overlook the geopolitical and colonial factors that fueled the rise of terrorism in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The Taliban’s Plan to Rebuild and Legitimize al-Qaeda
Those advocating for Taliban recognition must consider the ongoing renaissance of al-Qaeda, a process that is being actively facilitated by the regime.
UNAMA and Kazakhstan: Filling the Void in Afghanistan
The latest UN General Assembly shed some light on one of the few humanitarian organizations still operating in Afghanistan.
Zawahiri Killing: A New Twist in Afghanistan
The recent Zawahiri killing highlights how hard it is for Washington to completely quit the region.
Changing Political and Economic Dynamics in Taliban-Ruled Afghanistan
Ten months in, the Taliban consolidates its rule while normal Afghans try to survive amid economic devastation.
A Catch-22? Women’s Rights and the Recognizing the Taliban
The Taliban is systematically curtailing the rights of women and girls in Afghanistan, but there are policy options available to the international community.
Taliban Reloaded: New Regime, Old Name
The geopolitical context has changed between 2001 and 2021, and thus we should expect a different foreign policy from Taliban-controlled Afghanistan.
Afghanistan’s Fate Will Be Shaped by Geoeconomics
Three geoeconomic factors will determine the future of Taliban-controlled Afghanistan: opium, natural resources, and regional trade networks.
The Afghan Taliban Tries Moderation
Various geopolitical pressures are set to produce a more moderate Taliban regime in the short-term – but sharia remains a red line.
Qatar Emerges as Power Broker in New Afghanistan
Doha has spent years building political capital with the Taliban. Now it will have an opportunity to spend it.
Taliban Redux: Opportunities and Challenges for China in Afghanistan
The new geopolitical reality on China’s borders could trade short-term pain for long-term gain.
What Does Afghanistan Mean for US Allies in East Asia?
The fall of Kabul is causing some to question Washington’s commitment to its East Asian allies.
