Afghan Taliban

Taliban Reloaded: New Regime, Old Name

Two women walk past the huge cavity where one of the ancient Buddhas of Bamiyan, known to locals as the

The geopolitical context has changed between 2001 and 2021, and thus we should expect a different foreign policy from Taliban-controlled Afghanistan.

Afghanistan’s Fate Will Be Shaped by Geoeconomics

Operation Enduring Freedom

Three geoeconomic factors will determine the future of Taliban-controlled Afghanistan: opium, natural resources, and regional trade networks.

The Afghan Taliban Tries Moderation

U.S. Marines with Special Purpose Marine Air-Ground Task Force - Crisis Response - Central Command, provide assistance during an evacuation at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Kabul, Afghanistan, Aug. 20. U.S. service members are assisting the Department of State with an orderly drawdown of designated personnel in Afghanistan. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Lance Cpl. Nicholas Guevara), modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reactions_to_the_fall_of_Kabul_(2021)#/media/File:August_20_2021_Evacuation_at_Hamid_Karzai_International_Airport.jpg

Various geopolitical pressures are set to produce a more moderate Taliban regime in the short-term – but sharia remains a red line.

Qatar Emerges as Power Broker in New Afghanistan

US representative Zalmay Khalilzad (left) and Taliban representative Abdul Ghani Baradar (right) sign the agreement in Doha, Qatar on February 29, 2020. [State Department photo by Ron Przysucha/ Public Domain], cc US State Department, modified,

Doha has spent years building political capital with the Taliban. Now it will have an opportunity to spend it.

Taliban Redux: Opportunities and Challenges for China in Afghanistan

cc Kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/catalog/persons/351/events/49899/photos/41076

The new geopolitical reality on China’s borders could trade short-term pain for long-term gain.

What Does Afghanistan Mean for US Allies in East Asia?

210818-M-TU241-1001 HAMID KARZAI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, Afghanistan (August 18, 2021) Marines with the 24th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) search luggage during an evacuation at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Kabul, Afghanistan, Aug. 18. U.S. Marines are assisting the Department of State with an orderly drawdown of designated personnel in Afghanistan., U.S. Marine Corps photo by Sgt. Isaiah Campbell/U.S. Central Command Public Affairs , modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=kabul%20airport&fulltext=Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&title=Special:Search&advanced=1&fulltext=Advanced%20search#/media/File:Marines_with_the_24th_Marine_Expeditionary_Unit_(MEU)_search_luggage_during_an_evacuation_at_Hamid_Karzai_International_Airport,_Kabul,_Afghanistan,_Image_6_of_8.jpg

The fall of Kabul is causing some to question Washington’s commitment to its East Asian allies.

What Afghanistan Teaches about the Art of the Possible

cc U.S. Department of State from United States, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Secretary_Pompeo_Meets_With_the_Taliban_Delegation_(50333305012).jpg

Once again, the old adage is vindicated: Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

How Much Equipment Did the US Military Just Forfeit in Afghanistan?

cc NATO Training Mission-Afg, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/ntm-a_cstc-a/4754342319/in/photolist-8f8fki-8fbwby-8Svwae-8dFQGH-8dFRaM-8SyACy-an5vvx-8S1NM4-8QVgTz-8S4UeJ-8dGBnQ-8QVgCe-8dGBkb-8QYnxC-8hnkgW-8f8fVg-2hpQ54d-8dGBhW-8hC8y1-8hC8uf-8nHveN-8hC8vy-8Kbnxz-aGh65X-8nHvqC-8nHvnS-8nEnzg-8nHvgC-8Te1yR-8nHvjQ-9sCY16-9sD3eP-8Te1je-9sG433-9sFX9f-8nWxmZ-8y5P5u-8y5P5q-8S1NVx-8hC8zq-8hyTxg-8S1NQg-8uGQir-8uGQ9D-8nZGyq-5Nzryr-8nWxhc-8JK2rE-8nZGv5-8nZGqu

Billions of dollars’ worth of US weapons and equipment have fallen into Taliban hands, making the new regime a military force in the region from day one.

Geopolitical Fallout from Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan

cc Al Jazeera English, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/aljazeeraenglish/8153255174

A Taliban-controlled Afghanistan reshuffles the geopolitical deck in a highly strategic region.

Afghan Civil War: How Long Can Kabul Last?

A C-5 Galaxy takes off from a runway at Bagram Air Base, Afghanistan. In recent years, the 22nd Airlift Squadron has participated in missions in Afghanistan supporting Operation Enduring Freedom., cc USGOV-PD, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:22d_Airlift_Squadron_C-5_taking_off_from_Bagram_Air_Base_Afghanistan.jpg

The Afghan government is on borrowed time after a string of battlefield successes by the Taliban.

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