Todd Royal

Todd Royal, M.P.P. is the Managing Partner for Energy development, Oil & Gas, and Renewables for Ascendance Strategies, a global threat assessment and political consulting firm that is based in Los Angeles, California

China: Friend, Foe, or Something in Between

China's first aircraft carrier - the Liaoning. CC Flickr Simon Yang, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

It’s time for US policy planners to deal with the China that exists, and not the imaginary one they have long hoped for.

Geopolitics Has Caused the Oil Price Rally

Oilplatform, cc Flickr Enrico Strocchi, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Any rally that deviates from the laws of supply and demand is destined to be short-lived, and oil prices are no exception.

Venezuela’s Downward Spiral

2017_Venezuelan_protests_flag, cc Efecto Eco wikicommons, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2017_Venezuelan_protests_flag.jpg

Venezuelans are literally starving as the U.S., China, and Russia jockey for geopolitical position in the troubled South American country.

Can the EU Shake Its Russian Energy Habit?

cc Flickr jasonwoodhead23, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Diversified LNG imports could be the answer to the European Union’s energy puzzle.

Trumps New Energy Plan is Upending Global Geopolitics

Trump_Digs_Coal, cc Tammy Anthony Baker, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Trump_Digs_Coal_LAGOP_GOTVR_Dec2016_140_(31439762592).jpghttps://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Trump_Digs_Coal_LAGOP_GOTVR_Dec2016_140_(31439762592).jpg

President Donald Trump has turned US energy policy on its head.

Libyan Exports Rain on OPEC’s Parade

Haftar, cc Flickr Magharebia

New production from Libya is threatening OPEC attempts to support global oil prices.

Geopolitical Risk on Energy Prices Overblown

Oil Derrick, cc Flickr Global Panorama, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Supply and demand – not geopolitical factors – will move oil prices through 2017.

Will Creditors Get Paid Back by Venezuela?

grungeflag, cc Flickr Nicolas Raymond, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Amid economic collapse, the Venezuelan government is now forced to choose between repaying bonds or its oil-for-loans benefactors in China and Russia.

Current Geopolitics a Recipe for War

170116-A-KU062-519 US army, public domain, photo credit: Staff Sgt. Micah Vandyke

Geopolitical flashpoints are multiplying across several continents, and no one is stepping up to deal with them.

Deterrence Works and We Need to Get It Back

170107-N-BL637-082 PACIFIC OCEAN (Jan. 07, 2017) The aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) conducts a vertical replenishment-at-sea with the “Black Knights” of Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron (HSC) 4 and fleet replenishment oiler USNS Yukon (T-AO 202). The Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group will report to U.S. 3rd Fleet, headquartered in San Diego, while deployed to the Western Pacific as part of the U.S. Pacific Fleet-led initiative to extend the command and control functions of 3rd Fleet into the region. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Sean M. Castellano/Released), public domain, https://www.defense.gov/Media/Photo-Gallery?igphoto=2001685812

The old international order is falling apart, and a recommitment to deterrence can help stabilize the new one.

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