Rene Tebel

Germany and Nord Stream Sabotage: Victim or Confidant?

cc Initiative D21, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/initiatived21/52035606008/in/photolist-2nhd5LQ-2nh7uHi-2nh7uLE-defzrG-defzdx-2nhd5Yy-2mJrMp8-2nhftRF-defzDT-2nhftTV-2nhd5X6-2nh7uBG-defzzM-2nhcQpB-defz7e-2nh7uAV-2nhftZM-2nh7uN3-2nwmCRq-2nhd5Wz-2nhftMh-2nhcQfo-2nhcQuG-2nh7uRz-2nhd5ZW-2nhe7Y9-2nxcmww-2nhftW5-2mJt9z1-2nhfu1t-2nhftQt-2nh7uCZ-2nhcQer-2nhfu4Q-2nhcQvt-2nhd5QY-2nasrh1-2nwesAU-2nhftFA-2nh7uEc-27y2XuX-2nhd5Jv-pcnSDk-2mJD3yZ-9cKcZn-2nhe82f-2nhd5Rz-2nh7uSr-2nuSHjJ-2nh7uSX

Exploring the complex geopolitical position that Germany finds itself in amid the Nord Stream sabotage.

State or Non-state? An Overview of Possible Nord Stream Saboteurs

cc Flickr Official U.S. Navy Page, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/usnavy/39135282261/in/photolist-22CfxXT-WbMpsk-GpAkwe-EnizkX-ES78DS-Luwpg4-DcMfdP-2iyfZks-ZgjkDQ-22uiYdc-2jAoqVb-8s4dTm-2jAk2RJ-qresi1-2n4dkL1-Yp2SFS-2iyhcZQ-rDjWBr-2iyfZg4-BNb7V3-KPATnZ-2jAoqQr-7zcVmC-2iydru4-2iyydro-2htQNdz-EQfGK7-2jKzxDG-Fk3yJt-2kRsneS-5EYygP-Qw6MA9-2jAk2VS-YrU31B-GdUtk1-2iuTCq1-pZC8RL-2jAk2Bq-2m8rApa-27czXN9-FkkP8Y-Z7CdKh-Hcm1A1-2iyhd3W-2jKghM8-2dxVDMo-JMSXiD-2438rEd-2bSbY1L-2n8vGpn

Examining the potential suspects in the high-profile sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline.

Nord Stream Sabotage: The Evidence So Far

Nordstream2-Header

What can be gleaned from public record evidence surrounding last year’s high-profile sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline.

Seymour Hersh’s Nord Stream Theory: Fact or Fiction?

220511-N-ED646-0090- GDYNIA, Poland (May 11, 2022) Polish tugboat Uran assists Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Gravely (DDG 107) as it departs from Gdynia, Poland, May 11, 2022. Gravely is deployed with the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group on a scheduled deployment in the U.S. Sixth Fleet area of operations in support of U.S., Allied and partner interests in Europe and Africa. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Moises Sandoval), cc Commander, U.S. Naval Fo, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/cne-cna-c6f/52071227080/in/photolist-2nkmDFf-2nkjdgH-282h4ui-2njP1gM-79EZ8Q-27X1iVj-282h4bx-2njQjLg-2m6LSt9-ca2vyu-79sVP2-79FauZ-zsdNbx-79F2yU-zksEVJ-2jnGwAX-DquzwU-2ndExvx-2kDu8sd-2nkkoEQ-2nkdQXG-2nkjdib-2nkjeZ4-2hF8KC8-skSvgB-8sSjeN-26AXsS4-tnYfSM-sr8YzV-2niPd2q-2ndExwu-2ndExvH-rqifoK-XdquiY-zC4GoV-tvCUS2-VfvfrW-VFUdqm-VWBbDH-KQtJiQ-nUy38Q-25mKFNL-bPDU1n-Jd1AQ8-VFTMYq-uS94zF-UH5tHZ-Uzs9Rz-uDJXuT-2artcW9,

Seymour Hersh’s Nord Stream theory is conceivable, but it’s not the only way to explain the high-profile act of sabotage.

Ukrainian Winter: More Setbacks for Russia?

cc Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/27773607903

Shifts in the weather will present tactical challenges for both sides, but the ‘wet cold’ is unlikely to decisively void Ukraine’s advantages nor reverse Russia’s operational difficulties.

Russia’s Syrian Strategy Finds a Repeat in Ukraine

cc Kyivcity.gov.ua, modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#/media/File:%D0%96%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B9_%D0%B1%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA_%D1%83_%D0%9A%D0%B8%D1%94%D0%B2%D1%96_(%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BB._%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%88%D0%B8%D1%86%D1%8F)_%D0%BF%D1%96%D1%81%D0%BB%D1%8F_%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D1%96%D0%BB%D1%83.jpg

That strategy being: to bite, to crush, and then to move on.

Ukraine War: Lessons Learned One Month On

cc Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&redirs=0&search=ukraine%20war&fulltext=Search&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&title=Special:Search&advanced=1&fulltext=Advanced%20search#/media/File:Anti-terrorist_operation_in_eastern_Ukraine_(War_Ukraine)_(27773607903).jpg

The war in Ukraine has now lasted one month. Even though a thick fog of propaganda spreads over the events, several lessons can be gleaned from the course of the battle so far.

Syria Facing a Fourth Turkish Invasion?

cc Kurdishstruggle, Flickr, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/kurdishstruggle/37857203615/in/photolist-ZFj4Ha-FLXpoy-E1FNdr-23HUzaP-A3gDCA-A5seeR-H8f8z9-21P8D7m-GeHzvC-EVSBbc-C7Q816-AAgxNh-CC6HMU-AAgnTw-CXhWiG-D3zzZp-23Sf5Z3-BAWSiA-APU9tC-AmAXqC-22pqti4-EVSDcX-E3ZbAv-AXmxW8-FZzz64-zSoYEQ-JPUbHR-AR5WqK-JJgVhq-Ar66Pw-22pqsBV-NoiDrK-22pqt7c-D4SC3U-D5dhXp-Bvua1G-22pqsJD-AGPmpq-AVbRgv-J9P3XR-BzS1Wb-H1qC2J-FGXrHd-FoXrpM-CYxN7J-ApNrXH-B1xJrT-AuMvuF-Ac5yTT-Bdpypg

Signals abound that Turkey is preparing to launch another military operation in Syria, potentially with the objective of linking its two enclaves in the country.

The Afghan Taliban Tries Moderation

U.S. Marines with Special Purpose Marine Air-Ground Task Force - Crisis Response - Central Command, provide assistance during an evacuation at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Kabul, Afghanistan, Aug. 20. U.S. service members are assisting the Department of State with an orderly drawdown of designated personnel in Afghanistan. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Lance Cpl. Nicholas Guevara), modified, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reactions_to_the_fall_of_Kabul_(2021)#/media/File:August_20_2021_Evacuation_at_Hamid_Karzai_International_Airport.jpg

Various geopolitical pressures are set to produce a more moderate Taliban regime in the short-term – but sharia remains a red line.

Perim and Socotra: Can Yemen Maintain Its Territorial Integrity?

Socotra

Mysterious construction activity suggests that foreign patrons are establishing military facilities on Yemeni territory, whether their erstwhile allies like it or not.

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