Shifts in the weather will present tactical challenges for both sides, but the ‘wet cold’ is unlikely to decisively void Ukraine’s advantages nor reverse Russia’s operational difficulties.
That strategy being: to bite, to crush, and then to move on.
The war in Ukraine has now lasted one month. Even though a thick fog of propaganda spreads over the events, several lessons can be gleaned from the course of the battle so far.
Signals abound that Turkey is preparing to launch another military operation in Syria, potentially with the objective of linking its two enclaves in the country.
Various geopolitical pressures are set to produce a more moderate Taliban regime in the short-term – but sharia remains a red line.
Mysterious construction activity suggests that foreign patrons are establishing military facilities on Yemeni territory, whether their erstwhile allies like it or not.
In building the world’s first drone carrier, Ankara is making the most out of its exclusion from the F-35 program. But the plan isn’t perfect.