Kurniawan Arif Maspul

Kurniawan Arif Maspul is a researcher and interdisciplinary writer focusing on Islamic diplomacy and Southeast Asian political thought.

Rohingya at the Hague: Turning Point for International Justice

The ICJ at the Hague; Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 20 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

The Court in The Hague can issue judgments, but the world must decide whether they matter.

When America Walks Away, Asia Feels the Shockwaves

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 12 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

What happens when the principal architect of the post-war order begins quietly dismantling the scaffolding it once built?

Caracas Falls, and the Global South Takes Note

cc White House, modified, https://media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/05/2003851164/-1/-1/0/260103-D-D0439-004.JPG

The arrest of Nicolás Maduro hardens a quiet conviction already spreading across the South: that the rules of the international order are no longer universal, but situational—and that survival now depends not on norms, but on leverage.

Indonesian Democracy: A Regional Bellwether

Generated by Google Gemini AI on January 1 2026. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Indonesia’s democratic struggle is not a domestic footnote. It is a regional bellwether and a global test case, one that Australia – and the wider democratic world – are closely monitoring.

The Taiwan Question and the Uneasy Calm of Southeast Asia

220920-N-HP061-0096 TAIWAN STRAIT (Sept. 20, 2022) The Royal Canadian Navy Halifax-class frigate HMCS Vancouver (FFH 331) transits the Taiwan Strait with guided-missile destroyer USS Higgins (DDG 76) while conducting a routine transit. Higgins is forward-deployed to the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations in support of a free and open Indo-Pacific. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Donavan K. Patubo) - https://www.c7f.navy.mil/Media/News/Display/Article/3164089/7th-fleet-destroyer-transits-taiwan-strait-with-canadian-frigate/

Southeast Asia is not seeking to influence the Taiwan question—only to survive it. The hope is that restraint, dialogue, and neutrality can keep the region from being dragged into a calamity it neither wants nor can prevent.

Sumatra Floods: Tragedy Becomes a Political Fault Line

cc Indonesian National Board for Disaster Management, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Flood_in_Southeast_Aceh_Regency,_Sumatra.jpg

The Sumatra floods necessitate a stark choice: whether to defend an image of self-reliance, or to embrace a practical humility that lets neighbors’ hands reach across the water to save lives.

Hidden Morowali Airport Exposes Breach of Indonesia’s Sovereignty

Aerial view of Mentawai Airport, Indonesia. Note: This is not the airport discussed in the article. Public domain, Indonesian Directorate General of Civil Aviation. Modified. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:MentawaiAirport1.jpg

A small airport has been operating outside of the purview of the Indonesian state since 2019, raising thorny questions about just how ‘special’ extranational special economic zones can and should be.

Prabowo and Albanese: Turning Ceremony into Accountable Security Partnership

cc Ministry of State Secretariat of the Republic of Indonesia, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Prabowo_Subianto_Announces_Red_and_White_Cabinet_for_2024-2029_Period.jpg

The recent Prabowo-Albanese summit provides an opportunity to reshape regional stability — so long as the resulting legal framework is grounded in oversight, the agenda is broadly developmental, and transparency guides the partnership.

Jakarta’s Courtesy Calls to Pyongyang: A Risk Worth Taking?

Indonesia / DPRK flag, Generated by Google Gemini AI on November 6, 2025. All flags, maps, and likenesses contained within this image are not necessarily accurate representations of reality.

Indonesia’s outreach to North Korea represents a classic middle-power play: carve out a niche as an honest broker, even if the broker occasionally makes uncomfortable allies.

What Trump’s Kuala Lumpur Turn Teaches the West About Southeast Asia

cc White House, modified, https://www.whitehouse.gov/gallery/president-donald-trump-delivers-remarks-at-the-white-house-ai-summit-at-andrew-w-mellon-auditorium-in-washington-d-c/

Trump’s Kuala Lumpur gambit was a reminder that power still matters in the Indo-Pacific. But power without predictable politics is a brittle foundation.

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