Writers

Jose Miguel Alonso-Trabanco

Born in Mexico, Jose Miguel Alonso-Trabanco is an international relations professional who holds a Masters’ Degree in National Security and Strategic Intelligence. He has experience as an analyst, researcher, executive adviser, consultant, professor, lecturer and author of academic papers. He is currently pursuing a PhD in Defence and Security Studies at Massey University, New Zealand. His areas of expertise include geopolitics, security, statecraft, the nature of national power, international rivalries, conflict, hegemony, grand strategy, new arenas of strategic competition and the increasing significance of financial and monetary affairs for geopolitical realities in the 21st century.

The Evolution of Russia’s Ukraine Strategy

Orange Revolution in Ukraine, 2004; modified, cc Flickr neiljs, https://flickr.com/photos/neiljs/3459097680/in/photolist-uqhWr-hMCSp3-6DM6vR-6DRfv7-2navT6K-2976Ce-BMx1VJ-2976Pn-2ncrEzE-d25BNA-a7SiYt-a7Sjr8-a7VdLQ-a7Sm94-a7VazQ-a7SjcK-ek8Pbg-6gEMe9-6gEMeb-5hDezN-5zeqpE-uqhQW-uqhKj-ysWvE-5hiJVe-a7VdYL-a7VaVy-a7Vamh-a7V9uo-a7SgWB-a7SibF-a7Siy6-a7V9Kf-d3bJsG-d3bJnW-d25BTj-5AxT4S-7ypcA-a7SuwR-6ZyqAw-ehbmZd

The ongoing Ukraine War is the most recent phase of a gradual escalation that dates back to the 2004 Orange Revolution.

A World Remade? Lessons from the Ukraine War

cc Ministry of Defense Ukraine, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Anti-terrorist_operation_in_eastern_Ukraine_(War_Ukraine)_(27843153986).jpg

The Ukraine war is producing some bitter lessons for those who believed that global society had moved beyond nation-based geopolitics.

Is Russia’s Demographic Decline Irreversible?

President Putin attends a Christmas ceremony, cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/64868

A fast-declining population has the potential to compromise Russia’s ambitious revisionist plans and perhaps even its own survival as a national state.

Ukraine War: A Reshuffling of the Global Monetary Order?

cc Flickr peasap, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/peasap/935756569/in/photolist-2qFZPX-2hzjuNi-2mRGEPf-2i7s4S3-2m4VNNU-26ATgRe-FkwHTv-22eU9tE-271pnMo-2gTDwiT-2hxXktV-9Anokm-SFo7H2-AjfRR-2hzoRjj-HpveiC-24VWTtE-2dCaqUY-2hy7SMX-95gMni-23CKwN6-sqcQh3-2m3ihkc-2i8mN5S-2iFu5N5-27T9Esu-49HGS-Fkwenx-2btQwPY-23CHVpn-GRUtqw-HmF6Em-26CPrBc-92edco-27WvVZF-26AUfHR-2kFUb8e-24ZFJL4-2kPPxRq-271uaXS-2i6XMkH-27TjhES-24ZFaqB-2g5DqMg-9VwVc2-TBWKnA-7d4XnB-2mazVZQ-snqans-8odVuG

The unprecedented weaponization of global financial circuits in the wake of the Ukraine war could end up backfiring by jeopardizing the US dollar’s enduring position as global reserve currency.

Backgrounder: Evolution of Organized Crime in Mexico

Ceremonia de presentación y abanderamiento de la Nueva División de Gendarmería de la Policía Federal. Ciudad de México. 22 de agosto de 2014., Presidencia de la República Mexicana, modified, https://www.flickr.com/photos/presidenciamx/14817406378/in/photolist-ozn5FL-ozn5q5-oPPEB3-oRPywS-oRPDQN-ozmDBP-ozn9eN-oPPKcW-JvZhiW-JvZhsU-JvZhAQ-JvZhoL-oPPJLf-oRPACA-oznwTK-oRzEnr-oRzEzR-oznAex-oPPJ81-oPPGLU-oznxJc-oznz4X-ozmDwZ-ozmTry-oRzEqT-oRPyS1-ozn93q-ozn7pA-oPPJ9d-oPPEys-oPPFtU-ozmSym-oPPJpo-oRPAxW-oznwXT-oRPz5W-oRPAyC-ozn9bS-oPPDWW-oRzChe-ozn8VG-oRzDeV-oRPBt3-oRzDAM-oRPBL7-oRPyBG-oPPFTb-oznw4D-ozn9CJ-oRzDTv

Ad hoc policy responses on either side of the US border are frequently powerless in the face of the geopolitical, economic, and political forces fueling the rise of organized crime in Mexico.

Russia’s Geopolitical Projection in the American Hemisphere

cc kremlin.ru, modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_and_Nicolas_Maduro_(2018-12-05)_02.jpg

Russia has long nurtured a network of geopolitical influence in the Americas. But will the Ukraine invasion force a reappraisal of US strategy in the near future?

The Geoeconomic Front of the Ukraine War

cc Yuri Samoilov, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/yuri_samoilov/10239261953/in/photolist-2n63HEG-2n6yijV-2mVZemE-UGeaS4-2n6rsbf-2n634y6-eXuFYv-nfqcA-qQgW64-edzfAw-nfqcy-2n1acyG-rj5BQs-7SrXBv-7SveBy-xgzYiw-ggb1d-8jvFyU-2x9wFi-pXSSmJ-gANTRc-6mGVk-85RRJQ-dwEZuN-yMfK21-Ng3VNn-eBvxE-qA96a-r9nNFG-5Zrd34-PS7uW4-PFZt4g-PS8KYg-PDkSCE-PDkSob-NCNvyr-NCNvQP

It’s getting harder to deny the old dictum that geoeconomics is the continuation of warfare by other means.

Ukraine: The Perpetual Battleground

cc Ministry of Defense of Ukraine - Anti-terrorist operation in eastern Ukraine (War Ukraine), modified, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&limit=500&offset=0&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns14=1&search=ukraine+war#/media/File:Anti-terrorist_operation_in_eastern_Ukraine_(War_Ukraine)_(28285833042).jpg

The global balance of power in the 21st century will likely be determined by the outcome of the current Ukraine crisis.

Understanding the ‘Shiite Crescent’ as Iranian Grand Strategy

cc Flickr A.Davey, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/adavey/4952148019/in/photolist-8xB45p-34P8Mn-7psnMi-byQVbn-6xwXRV-cPj3NS-2hZ7e5C-f7ug6o-7pseoH-849TB5-7psnM2-9AYtsG-9E2YEg-8rtmkH-f6kfLy-JLViG-7vW8Bg-a8nGPD-dkrZv-7pseoP-7pseo2-btMbEP-8RxHSd-26Km6Lm-9cf6RX-df8mvc-9z4Xqb-yybQdM-KHdtFW-bnBbKp-7Xgdpt-27RapPa-5d8x8n-aWLfep-v7pXSm-8gKtPL-ekvTAH-6crbbC-x8mAZR-pHYeM-2vBCe1-JYwie-5YSUgt-KveRe-f6kfHG-7o28p5-JDoiL-L7ZC5-KgwjS-pHYeK

Examining the ideological underpinnings, goals, and challenges concerning Iranian grand strategy, as understood by the desire to establish a ‘Shiite Crescent’ across the Greater Middle East.

Afghanistan’s Fate Will Be Shaped by Geoeconomics

Operation Enduring Freedom

Three geoeconomic factors will determine the future of Taliban-controlled Afghanistan: opium, natural resources, and regional trade networks.

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