Igor Desyatnikov

Igor Desyatnikov is a graduate student in the Department of Government at Harvard University, where he specializes in International Security, Eastern Europe, post-Soviet states and Transatlantic relations. Prior to his formal training in international security and foreign affairs, he spent over two decades as a fund manager operating in global macro financial markets, overseeing strategies closely linked to macroeconomic and foreign policies of leading economies.

When America Retreats, the World Catches Fire

Israeli attack on Tehran; cc Mehr News Network, modified - https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?sort=last_edit_desc&search=tehran+filetype%3Abitmap&title=Special%3ASearch&profile=advanced&fulltext=1&advancedSearch-current=%7B%22fields%22%3A%7B%22filetype%22%3A%22bitmap%22%7D%7D&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:Pictures_of_the_Israeli_attack_on_Tehran_1_Mehr_(2).jpg

If the Trump administration continues to project ambivalence and rely on transactional deal-making, it will not prevent the next war. It will hasten it—and risk making the next war nuclear.

Trump’s Policies Are Strengthening the Russia-China Axis

A state visit in 2024; cc kremlin.ru, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74045

President Trump may have been trying to ‘reverse Nixon’ Russia-China axis in order to drive a wedge between the two, but so far he has achieved the opposite outcome.

The US-Ukraine Critical Minerals Deal Breaches the Budapest Memorandum

U.S. President Clinton, Russian President Yeltsin, and Ukrainian President Kravchuk sign the Trilateral Agreement in Moscow, January 1994, modified, public domain, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum#/media/File:Presidents_after_signing_the_Trilateral_Statement,_Moscow,_1994.png

In engaging in the kind of economic coercion explicitly forbidden by the Budapest Memorandum, the Trump administration has undermined decades of nonproliferation efforts, eroded US diplomatic credibility, and set a precedent that weakens the power of any future US assurance.

America’s Waning Edge: Capital Flight, Tariffs, and De-Dollarization

cc public domain, modified, https://www.rawpixel.com/image/5967197/money-cash-close

The Trump administration is actively undermining the conditions that allowed American industry—and American markets—to dominate for so long.

Trump Tariffs Imperil the US Asia Pivot

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks at Yokota Air Base | November 5, 2017 (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) / modified

The recent Trump tariffs are not just a trade issue. They are an act of geopolitical self-sabotage, and nowhere is this more apparent than in the future prospects for the US Asia Pivot.

The Strategic Case for US Security Guarantees in Europe

cc US Army Europe, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/usarmyeurope_images/7273917208/in/photolist-c5LHYj-c5LJaE-mXUxaL-UwbBfr-2nCeTN8-2n9KMDZ-2nbHm8r-ZxR9VX-2hvoiz6-2hvn15Z-2hvr5ws-2hqfRnp-2qCTwzn-2hrHEYA-2hgqtyu-2hqchm2-2hqdMu5-YtbGJE-2hvuNoG-2hrMBEh-Za1Thj-2hujwGZ-2hvr4Uq-GnXmmQ-GnXmn1

Despite arguments advocating retrenchment, the benefits of maintaining a strong military presence in Europe far outweigh the costs for Washington.

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