Dr. Mohamed ELDoh

Dr. Mohamed ELDoh is a business development and consulting professional in the defense and security sector. Mohamed holds a Doctorate degree from Grenoble École de Management - France, an MBA from the EU Business School- Spain, and an Advanced Certificate in Counterterrorism Studies from the University of St Andrews, UK.

Trump’s Middle East Visit: A Calculated Power Play in the New Geopolitical Normal

cc Trump White House/ President Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia in 2017 / https://flickr.com/photos/whitehouse45/34398799400/in/photolist-286V31w-TK1vF1-THmmWE-M4roSU-UpGQwf-26rrUFs-TK1vj9-TRfij2-TMX5vP-UpGQCh-THmyp9-TMX4za-TRfidk-UWd6qS-286Nae3-NAHSP-UZLxnD-M4nVKU-297R9Rs-TMX45n-27Per9T-TK1wL7-UWd5Yu-27PfhL8-TLgxKp-UZLy36-UN4vxF-TRfjaF-UZLxN8-UZLy4P-UKpTVL-TLgxSD-UN4wDt-UPMktc-UZLyoX-UZLyor-286SNVN-UPMkFX-UZLxxi-Urogi5-26rpDLS-Qd7Lwv-UKpWEo-UWd7iy-UZLwWi-UWd6P7-RzWA2M

Trump will bring a long list of asks when he visits the Middle East for the first formal trip of his second term. But the Gulf states are not passive actors, and they will be making requests of their own.

Iran Negotiations Are Likely to Fail

cc Blondinrikard Frö, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/blondinrikard/14431511135/in/photolist-nJNEcM-251ZeD8-8gCE3T-nZggtv-2oRSqxh-nYY7wx-nSBCHJ-5J4NKo-o26gVD-o1YDYD-6yQxgs-2hWtMr-nQ6fxa-9jMPzF-57rq3H-8udJuQ-fS5Js-PnqCf8-x7jJND-4zqSe6-ceZ4DG-o23LKZ-23fcPR7-ayVTgo-ayTdBp

Despite initial descriptions of the talks as “constructive” the prospects for a sustainable agreement remain bleak.

Hezbollah’s Military Tactics in the Post-Nasrallah Era

A drone test in Iran; cc Saeed Sajjadi, modified, https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiedosto:Iranian_drone_exercise_in_2022_-_Day_2_%2820%29.jpg

Despite Israeli successes in eliminating Hezbollah’s leadership, the group still appears ready and able to conduct a prolonged war of attrition in southern Lebanon.

The Egypt-Eritrea-Somalia Alliance: A Strategic Counterbalance to Ethiopia

cc US Institute for Peace, modified, https://flickr.com/photos/usipeace/26484148152/in/photolist-Gmjby1-Gutw6p-GutvR6-GutvHF-Gutwk2-Gutwhg-Fzc3VF-Gutwfn-GutvDx-GutvFr-GutvTv-Fzc4tz-GutvKV-Fzc3Z8-GutwnM-Gutwac-dSocSK-dWLAom-dWLApq-dWLAoh-2oJEmLo-QGmubg-2oJJ95A-2oJKMAe-2ph6BoL-2oJEmML-QGmvzZ-CnU9Af-2nMo7qg-2nqUP4t-2nMv6T3-2nqTJBX-fLSNJV-2oJKiQG-qDuM6i-CYve7m-CuWgzy-JhSU5G-dShYb1-v4ZgG5-JhUtdd-rNnxhb-fPfcid-qVVrkt-ehhFCr-F6yBZS-pYVgtJ-dShYad-fNWVcD-JYdKQT

Egypt, Somalia, and Eritrea are banding together to contain Ethiopia’s expansion in Eastern Africa, producing far-reaching consequences for the geopolitics of the continent.

Iran’s UAV Diplomacy Resonating in Conflicts in MENA and Beyond

cc Bahareh Asadi, modified, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2021_Iranian_drone_exercise_in_Semnan_desert_%2822%29.jpg

Although Iran’s UAV programs are not new, the international and regional threat from them continues to evolve at an unprecedented rate.

Al-Durra Field: Another Front for Regional Tensions with Iran

cc khamenei.ir, modified, Iran Supreme Leader meets with Kuwaiti Emir, Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah in 2014

The Al-Durra natural gas field is emerging as a major new front in Iran-Saudi tension, one that could ultimately test their nascent bilateral détente.

Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios

Hezbollah fighters in a ceremony; https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hezzzzbollah.jpgcc khamenei.ir, modified

Exploring the destructive regional potential of a Hezbollah-Israel conflict, and what has kept such a conflict from breaking out so far.

Red Sea Houthi Attacks Demand a Strategy Against Iran

Ship moves through Strait of Gibraltor. The guided missile destroyer USS Jason Dunham transits the Strait of Gibraltar at dusk, June 14, 2018. The ship was conducting naval operations in the U.S. 6th Fleet area of operations in support of U.S. national security interests in Europe. During small-boat operations in the Red Sea, a sailor assigned to the ship died July 8, 2018. DoD photo by Navy Petty Officer 3rd Class Jonathan Clay

The threat to maritime shipping represented by Red Sea Houthi attacks cannot be fully mitigated without a region-wide strategy aimed at the regime’s backers in Tehran.

Erdogan in Egypt: Strategic Implications for Turkey and Egypt

cc http://en.kremlin.ru/catalog/keywords/82/events/50181/photos/41424, modified, http://en.kremlin.ru/catalog/keywords/82/events/50181/photos/41424

A high-level visit by the Recep Tayyip Erdogan marks the culmination of a years-long thaw in Egypt-Turkey relations.

Rafah Offensive Dims Short-term Peace Prospects in Middle East

Border of Gaza, Israel, and Egypt as seen from space. NASA/Chris Hadfield https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=rafah%20satellite&ns0=1&ns6=1&ns12=1&ns14=1&ns100=1&ns106=1#/media/File:Border_between_Israel_and_Egypt_visible_from_space.jpg

An impending Israeli offensive in Rafah is creating new frictions with Israel’s long-term allies, notably Egypt, and imperiling any possibility of normalization with the Arab world.

More Stories
Back to Top
Keep Pace with a Changing World
Sign up to our mailing list for weekly reports and discounted subscription rates.
Use Code:
0
0
0
0
Act now for a limited-time deal on an annual subscription.
GPM99
: