MENA Region

Tillerson Fired as Trump Veers “America First”

cc Flickr Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Trump has installed a kindred spirit at the top of the State Department. The move can be expected to reverberate throughout US foreign policy, notably in the administration’s approach to Iran.

Egypt: Going through the Motions of Democracy

cc Flickr James N. Mattis, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Egyptian voters are heading to the polls. Their choice: President al-Sisi or President al-Sisi.

Assad Jumps into the Afrin Conflict

YPG fighters in Afrin, CC Flickr Kurdishstruggle, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

In a further escalation of the Syrian civil war, Damascus has vowed to help the Kurds of Afrin repel the advance of Turkey’s “Operation Olive Branch.”

Israel and Iran Signal Escalation in Syrian Civil War

cc Flickr U.S. Embassy Tel Aviv, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Tensions left to simmer for most of the war are now boiling over as Israel grapples with the possibility of a long-term Iranian presence in southern Syria.

Global Forecast (01-24-2018)

GPM-placeholder-forecast

Erdogan threatens to expand Turkey’s campaign against Syria’s Kurds, China mulls SOE reform (again), and a grassroots upsurge in the SPD calls German coalition talks into question.

Water Conflict: Will a Drying Iran Face Syria’s Fate?

Iran's disappearing Lake Urmia from space in 2016. Photo credit: This image or video was catalogued by Johnson Space Center of the United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) under Photo ID: ISS049-E-3471.

Iran is showing the same water strains that helped to destabilize Syria ahead of the civil war.

Geopolitics Has Caused the Oil Price Rally

Oilplatform, cc Flickr Enrico Strocchi, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Any rally that deviates from the laws of supply and demand is destined to be short-lived, and oil prices are no exception.

Interview: Anton Salman on the Future of the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process

Mayor Anton salman Photo

Anton Salman, the mayor of Bethlehem, in his first interview in 2018: starting from the “Siege of the Nativity church,” passing through Donald Trump’s declaration about Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, ending with the future of Palestine.

Outlook 2018: Energy Prices

outlook

Will the energy market of 2018 take its cues from the bearish 2016, or the bullish 2017?

Protests Erupt in Cities across Tunisia

An anti-terrorism protest in Tunisia in July 2014, cc Flickr Magharebia, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Just days from the anniversary of former president Zine El Abadine Ben Ali stepping down, protesters are flooding the streets in the cradle of the Arab Spring.

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