Geopoliticalmonitor.com’s Europe-based Director of Political and Business Risk reports from the Crans Montana Forum's Homeland and Global Security Forum, held in Geneva, Switzerland (October 15-17, 2014).
The Syrian town of Kobane, also known as Ain-al-Arab, has been the site of fierce fighting between Syrian Kurds and Islamic State (ISIS) for over three weeks. Some have even come to see it as a crucible for President Obama’s military strategy, arguing that if ISIS can still make territorial gains despite US air strikes, the chances for total victory over Islamic State are pretty bleak.
Threat Assessment: The Khorasan Terror Cell More Dangerous Than Islamic State? Benjamin Syme Van Ameringen
Unlike Islamic State, this new terror cell - known as ‘Khorasan’ - is far more interested in attacking targets in Europe and North America than they are in creating an Islamic Caliphate or toppling the Assad Regime.
Much has been made of the potentially destabilizing effects of foreign fighters returning from Iraq and Syria to their home countries in Central Asia. But how real is the actual threat?
President Obama’s strategy for defeating Islamic State is weak, overly ideological, and it just isn’t going to work.
Boko Haram is fighting to carve its own Caliphate out of the Nigerian state, and early indications suggest they might just accomplish their goal.