Japan: Economic Outlook and Risk Assessment


Japan seems to be experiencing an economic revival, with the Nikkei 225 jumping over 5,000 points (or 50% of its value) since Shinzo Abe was swept into power in December of 2012. But serious structural hurdles to sustained growth remain. This 20-page report provides an in-depth assessment of three such hurdles: demographic decline, public debt burden, and geopolitical tensions with China over the East China Sea Diaoyu/Senkakus island dispute. It then provides a set of recommendations meant to answer the key question of whether Japan’s growth spurt will go on to outlive the placebo effect of “Abenomics.”



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