Geopolitical Monitor - Weekly Forecasts - Geopolitical Analysis and Forecasts on Geopolitical Issues in Asia, Europe, Africa, the Americas, and the Middle East

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

The rules governing the scramble for the Arctic are beginning to crystalize and surprisingly enough they indicate a peaceful process of conflict resolution going forward.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

It is becoming increasingly hard for Lockheed Martin to weather the din of negative press surrounding the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter as of late. Recently, this din has widened to include: a damning report from the US Government Accountability Office, electoral politicking in Canada, and cold feet in the Netherlands and Denmark.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

A bailed out Greece and Irish Republic may have temporarily calmed the beast of rampant bond speculation, but deep fiscal rot in both Portugal and Spain has the potential to kick off a new round of European debt déjà vu.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

As BRIC countries prepare for a summit in China next week, trade skirmishes and disagreements within the bloc persist in casting doubt on its future relevance as a global entity.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

The arrest of prominent Chinese artist Ai Weiwei has revealed an extensive crackdown against inernal dissidents by the authorities in Beijing. It seems that there are serious concerns within the Chinese government that the “Arab Spring” could spill into Asia.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Syrian President Bashar Assad has deployed all of the usual tools to cope with the protest movement that has blossomed within Syria’s borders. But, no matter how confident his recent words may seem, there are real fears in Damascus that Syria could be the next domino to fall.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

The human cost of the terrible earthquake and subsequent tsunami that struck Japan last week is clear for all to see. What’s less obvious however is the geopolitical impact of the tragic events currently playing out in Japan.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

One might have gotten the impression that the wave of democratization which started in Tunisia and quickly spread to Egypt was destined to sweep through the entire region, leaving nothing an autocratic resonance autocracy in its wake.  Libya however has changed the tone of this historical transition, and now only two things can be certain: The outcome in Tripoli will effect whether or not democratic ripples continue, and it will likely take a long time to arrive at said outcome.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

While official results from the referendum in Sudan will not be revealed until sometime in February, it has become somewhat of a foregone conclusion that Africa’s largest country is on the verge of splitting. This is sure to impact not only regional stability, but politics across the wider African continent.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

In a stark example of how drastically a situation can change in just one week, it seems that Pakistan is once again teetering on the brink.