Geopolitical Monitor - Weekly Forecasts: forecast report on a current news story

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

As NATO enters its 7th decade, serious questions of its relevancy persist, culminating in the greatest existential threat faced by the military alliance.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Israel has opened up yet another war-front via a covert-ops attack against targets on Sudanese soil, potentially furthering an escalating rift between it and its Arab neighbours.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Western powers, through the International Criminal Court (ICC), have succeeded in preventing a nascent peace initiative between Darfurian rebels and the central Sudanese government – a prelude to the eventual partition of the country.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Conceding to the growing political power of the people, Pakistan’s government reinstated a deposed Chief Justice in order to stem a political crisis, however the weakening of the government’s authority threatens to leave a power vacuum that may be filled by armed militant groups such as the Taliban.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

In a major departure from the Bush administration, President Obama has initiated a new geopolitical strategy in central Asia designed to drastically change the status quo in Afghanistan.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Pakistan’s Supreme Court has banned the main opposition party’s leader from holding political office, threatening political turmoil in the nuclear-armed South Asian state.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Both of Israel’s last two senior coalition partners, Kadima, under Tipzi Livni, and Labor, under Ehud Barak, have rejected Likud’s offer to join it in a unity government.  With Hamas on the rise in Palestine and Yisrael Beiteinu in Israel, it appears that any near term prospects for peace between the Israelis and Palestinians are dead.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Yesterday, in a special referendum, Venezuelan voters overturned constitutionally mandated term-limits, allowing Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez and his allies unlimited rights to hold public office.  Thus, Venezuela’s path towards a revolution-cum-dictatorship appears inevitable.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Flexing its growing international clout while American geopolitical power continues to decline precipitously, Russia is further developing the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) into a post Cold War Warsaw Pact.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Afghanistan’s Independent Election Commission (IEC) has cancelled the nation’s presidential elections, ostensibly to allow U.S. President Barack Obama’s troop surge to take full effect and improve Afghan security.  However, the delay will enable U.S. troops to manipulate the election and oust President Hamid Karzai from power in order to stem the Taliban insurgency.