Geopolitical Monitor - Weekly Forecasts - Geopolitical Analysis and Forecasts on Geopolitical Issues in Asia, Europe, Africa, the Americas, and the Middle East

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

The Sri Lankan government’s defeat of the separatist Tamil Tigers in May 2009 only marked the end of the conventional phase of Asia's longest running armed conflict. The biggest postwar challenge has been to provide a negotiated settlement for Sri Lanka’s Tamils. But before the island nation can move toward a future of reconciliation, it must face the truth of its dark past.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

For the junta, the transition is not and maybe should never be a complete rupture with the old system, inevitably at their expense and a threat to their entrenched economic and social privileges.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh’s recent statement that he ‘rejects power’ and will step down in the coming days has become somewhat of a common refrain in recent months. Yet, has the situation on the ground reached the point where, presidential resignation or not, Yemen is headed for civil war?

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

It's a dizzying time for anyone trying to keep track of militant groups in Pakistan. Over the past two years, ever smaller groups keep appearing; as they do, they focus on more specific kinds of attacks.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

After yet another decade of a peace process that is obviously stalled if not terminally ineffective, PA President Mahmoud Abbas has decided to take Palestinian aspirations of statehood to the United Nations.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld has been stripped of legal immunity for acts of torture against US citizens authorized while he was in office.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Peru’s Congress has recently passed a law that states that indigenous people have a right to prior consultation regarding any plans that influence their collective rights. This includes their cultural identity, livelihoods and physical existence. On paper this law is revolutionary, but in reality many questions remain about the way this law will be enforced and the impact it will have on indigenous communities.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Increasingly Europeans are leaving the European Union in search of employment and better oppertunities.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

With the rebel net tightening around a besieged Tripoli, it won’t be long before the NATO-rebel campaign to oust Colonel Gaddafi comes to a close. Now, the next battle for Libya can begin.

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Global markets stand on the precipice of another plunge into the now familiar territory of red and recession, though this time there won’t be the prospect of government stimulus spending to soften the blow.