Weekly Forecasts
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
Canada’s combat role in Afghanistan will almost certainly end in a little over two years, if not sooner, due to a convergence of recent events.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The resignation of hundreds of Pakistani police personnel due to fear of Taliban reprisals, and escalating tension along the Indo-Pak border eclipsing Islamabad's focus on militancy along its Afghan border, may result in Pakistan's NorthWest Frontier Province (NWFP) and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) falling to local Taliban control.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
Wednesday, November 24th's dramatic terrorist attacks and siege of Mumbai, India’s commercial capital, threatens to unravel the precarious progress towards peace between nuclear rivals India and Pakistan.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
President-Elect Barack Obama has signalled his desire to continue outgoing lame duck President George W. Bush’s foreign policy agenda by floating candidates for top US security posts closely aligned with the latter.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The U.S.' planned European missile defence shield, a principal feature of the Bush administration’s foreign policy, appears destined for the dustbin after Barack Obama’s recent presidential election victory.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
American foreign policy vis-à-vis the Middle East under President-Elect Barack Obama is not likely to differ from his predecessor, the universally reviled George W. Bush.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The United States has begun signalling a new strategy in the seven-year long Afghanistan War: peace talks with the Taliban.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
According to Brigadier Mark Carleton-Smith, departing commander of British forces in Afghanistan, the war in Afghanistan is about reducing the insurgency to a manageable level that is not a strategic threat. It appears that NATO is realizing what the Russians were telling them all along: victory in Afghanistan is not achievable. However, it is the politicians who seem oblivious to this predicament.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The recently negotiated U.S.-Iraq Status-of-Forces security pact signals the beginning of the end of the U.S. occupation of Iraq.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
If the financial crisis caused by Wall Street manages to diminish Washington’s prestige, ability to influence policy, and deters allies from following the US’ lead on foreign policy, it will achieve what 50 years of near nuclear confrontation with the Soviet Union failed to do—the dissolution of the American Empire.