Weekly Forecasts
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
A list of some of the critical economic and security issues facing the world in December 2012.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The Liberal Democratic Party’s Shinzo Abe emerged as the big winner in last week’s elections in Japan. But any forecast of the next four years of LDP rule must begin with the question: where exactly does the rhetoric end and the real policy begin?
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The Geopoliticalmonitor’s Zachary Fillingham examines what’s at stake in US ‘fiscal cliff’ negotiations.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
After months of speculation, the membership lineup for the Standing Committee of the Politburo has been finalized. The Geopoliticalmonitor’s Zachary Fillingham explores what we can expect from China moving forward.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The Geopliticalmonitor’s Zak Rose examines whether the prospect of a colossal electoral defeat in 2015 may cause the Myanmar government to backpedal on political reform.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The next rulers of China will be revealed this week, but a clear picture has yet to emerge as to whether the new Politburo Standing Committee will be dominated by the Xi Jinping ‘princeling’ faction, or the Communist Youth League ‘tuanpai’ clique that has rallied around outgoing President Hu Jintao. Whichever it is will have a decisive impact on the next ten years of Chinese government policy.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The Erdogan administration has upped the ante in its attempt to reveal foreign patronage in the Syrian Civil War. But in grounding a Damascus-bound Russian civilian jet, did the Turkish government roll the dice and lose?
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
There are plenty of positive signs on both the military and political front indicating that Somalia is about to turn a corner after two decades of instability and conflict. But despite recent positivity, the state’s long-term success will ultimately be decided by the new government in Mogadishu.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
The news of China’s first aircraft carrier being launched is definitely relevant in terms of China’s long-term naval policy. But the Varyag-turned-Liaoning won’t be decisively tilting the balance of China’s prospects in a naval clash with Japan any time soon.
Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events
There is no policy silver bullet that can deal with the wave of anti-US protests sweeping the Muslim world, argues Zachary Fillingham of the Geopoliticalmonitor.