Weekly Forecasts

Sino-Japanese relations: Japan’s surrender
Sino-Japanese relations: Japan’s surrender

Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

The anniversary of Japan’s surrender in WWII has come and gone with two noteworthy developments: no visits from the Japanese cabinet to the Yasukuni Shrine and a strongly-worded apology from Prime Minister Naoto Kan.
 
Legalization the next step in Mexico?
Legalization the next step in Mexico?
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

The appearance of four bodies hanging from a bridge in Cuernavaca serves as a grim reminder that Mexico’s drug war is far from over.
 
Petraeus & Taliban Talks
Petraeus & Taliban Talks
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

General Petraeus’ announcement that won’t necessarily honor a 2011 pullout date for NATO forces in Afghanistan is aimed at re-taking the initiative on negotiations with the Taliban.
 
Floods to destabilize Pakistan?
Floods to destabilize Pakistan?
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Severe flooding in Pakistan has created a dangerous situation for the already-beleaguered civilian government in Islamabad.
 
A US-Canada compromise on the Arctic?
A US-Canada compromise on the Arctic?
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

While the usual international posturing on the Arctic continues unabated, signs are beginning to emerge that Canada and the United States might be able to put their differences behind them.  
 
The leak that broke the war's back
The leak that broke the war's back
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

This weekend’s massive leak of classified information on the war in Afghanistan will probably come to be seen as the leak that broke the war’s back.
 
China begins to flex its muscle
China begins to flex its muscle
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

It seems that the days of a Chinese foreign policy based on not ‘rocking the boat’ are over. Over the next few years, expect Beijing to increasingly assert itself as a global power.
 
Al-Shabab strikes outside Somalia
Al-Shabab strikes outside Somalia
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

This weekend’s double bombing in Kampala bears all the hallmarks of an al-Shabab attack. It seems that Somalia’s homegrown strain of the Taliban has struck outside its own borders for the very first time.
 
Political Deadlock in Iraq
Political Deadlock in Iraq
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

Iraq’s political stalemate continues to jeopardize its long-term security outlook.
 
G20 in Toronto: Hints of Obsolescence
G20 in Toronto: Hints of Obsolescence
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Weekly Forecast and Summary of Events

A lack of progress on pressing global issues after the Toronto summit is calling the effectiveness of the G20 into question.

 
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